NFL Free Pick : Gruden’s Gambit in Redskins at the Colts

The unwanted house guest has his luggage packed and is at the door.  All it takes is one big effort and they are gone for the holidays and the rest of 2014.  RGIII is at that stage as he is benched for McCoy as the Redskins (3-8) visit the Colts(7-4).  Normally only Indy would have something to play for but Gruden wants to set his house up for years to come.   Expect the fireworks and all the stops to come out for a team that is merely 3-8.  What is our NFL Free Pick for this one at 1PM on Sunday?

Future in Motion with Washington

Each and every day blue collar America has to shake their heads as they arrive at work.  There is usually one person whom all the other workers can not figure out how he or she holds onto their job. It creates tension in the workplace but if and when they finally are let go, productivity shoots up.  This is your Redskins in a nutshell in dealing with RGIII.  Everyone wanted him to work but over time, few could see why he should be given the reigns.  He lacked the basic skills and could not obtain them to make him a functional NFL quarterback.  The organization has moved on since the debacle against Atlanta.  With it, Colt McCoy is expected to infuse new life into the stale offense.

NFL Totals

Colts at Home Could Provide the Over on Their Own

Andrew Luck is more level than Peyton was in regards to home and away performance.  Luck does well on the road but does not hit that maximum stride that Manning does inside of domes.  With all that being said, his ratio of 29 TDS to 10 INTs with an over 60 percent completion mark makes the passing game difficult to defend both short and long.  The weakness is that they tip their hand depending on which running back is in.  Trent Richardson represents a slant to the running game while Ahmad Bradshaw is very good at catching passes from the backfield.  That is one of the few weaknesses in an otherwise pretty complete (7-4) team hitting their stride.

The Colts really are decent at putting away teams at home that they should beat.  The spread opened at -8 and is now near ten.  The total is steady at 51.  This is where we should strike.  This is Gruden’s chance to shed RGIII with some big offensive performances without him.  See risk taking and aggressive play calling.  Luck will get his and more against the tasty Skins defense.  The total is way to low in his one.  Go with the over 51 and skip to the bank in this one.  Congrats and we will see you early next week with more from APEXfootball handicapping.